The probability of religion

One thing I’ve never been able to wrap my mind around is how someone can say God is on their side. I always wonder, how do they know God is on their side? It just doesn’t make any sense, as this faith involves multiple layers of improbable assumptions. It’s the same when someone wonders which religion is the correct one, as if one must be true.

Faith involves multiple layers of improbable assumptions.

How does a person know God is on their side? The same way as their enemy does: faith. It’s also the same way two theists with completely opposite beliefs both know they are right. They claim faith is all that’s needed, but never seem to think about the fact that people who believe something entirely different also are adamant in their beliefs for the same reason. Faith is not a good enough reason to take the plunge down the precipice.

Let’s look at the many layers of assumptions needed for God to be on your side. Does a metaphysical phenomenon even exist? There’s no proof of any such thing, so most likely no. Is this metaphysical phenomenon an intelligent being? There’s no evidence of this and it is rather absurd that an intelligent being would just exist, so the answer is most likely no. All life we know came to be through evolution and (most likely) abiogenesis. It is unlikely a metaphysical force exists, not to mention an intelligent deity.

But let’s assume there is a metaphysical phenomenon or god out there. Has humankind invented a religion for this god or metaphysical phenomenon? A common trait with religions is they claim to be the true one, and they do so with conviction. But they can’t all be right, so most (if not all) must be wrong. And since there are literally unlimited possibilities for what the metaphysical phenomenon we’ve assumed exists can be, it seems very unlikely we’ve actually come up with the right religion.

So let’s assume we have come up with the right religion. Well, there are and have been countless religions. Does the correct religion still exist in contemporary times? Is your specific religion, of all the ones out there, the correct one? Again, theists everywhere believe they are right and other theists are wrong for the same reasons, and even if we assume one faith is right, most would be wrong. So it’s most likely the correct religion is not yours. Also, many religions and other powers have conquered throughout history and forced religions on people, so the correct one (assuming there is one) could very well have died out. Warfare, ignorance, and indoctrination make it more likely there isn’t a correct religion.

Then let’s assume your religion is the correct one. Congratulations, you won. Well, not really. Now you have to ask, is there a correct interpretation of your religion? Is your specific interpretation of your specific religion the correct one? History has given us many denominations of Christianity, which means the future might give us more. How do we know, assuming there is a correct religion and that it’s Christianity, that there is a true interpretation of it? There more likely isn’t one. So how likely is it, then, that your specific interpretation, of all the ones out there, is the true one? Not very.

Blind faith leads to hubris, and the last question I have is this: Does God love you more than everybody else?

And if you are wrong about your faith, at any of the assumptions above, why would God be on your side rather than someone else’s? Why would God be on anyone’s side? There are too many assumptions involved to say God is on anyone’s side. There are too many assumptions involved to even look for the right religion. Blind faith leads to hubris, and the last question I have is this: Does God love you more than everybody else?